Quarterly Futures

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Quarterly Futures: A Beginner's Guide

Welcome to the world of cryptocurrency trading! This guide will walk you through understanding and trading Quarterly Futures, a popular way to trade crypto with leverage. Don't worry if you’re a complete beginner; we'll explain everything in simple terms.

What are Futures Contracts?

Imagine you want to buy a bag of rice in three months. To protect yourself from the price going up, you could agree *now* to buy it at today’s price. That agreement is a "futures contract."

In crypto, a futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell a specific cryptocurrency at a specific price on a specific future date. "Quarterly" refers to the settlement date - these contracts typically expire every three months (March, June, September, December).

Understanding Leverage

Leverage is the key to futures trading. It allows you to control a larger position with a smaller amount of capital. Think of it like borrowing money from the exchange to amplify your potential profits (and losses!).

  • Example:* Let's say Bitcoin (BTC) is trading at $60,000. With 10x leverage, you can control a $600,000 position with only $60,000 of your own money.

While leverage can increase profits, it *also* significantly increases risk. If the price moves against you, your losses are also amplified. Always practice Risk Management!

Long vs. Short Positions

There are two ways to trade futures:

  • **Long:** You believe the price of the cryptocurrency will *increase*. You "buy" the contract, hoping to sell it later at a higher price.
  • **Short:** You believe the price of the cryptocurrency will *decrease*. You "sell" the contract, hoping to buy it back later at a lower price.

Essentially, going long is betting *on* the price, and going short is betting *against* the price. See also Trading Strategies.

How Quarterly Futures Work: A Step-by-Step Guide

1. **Choose an Exchange:** Several exchanges offer quarterly futures trading. Popular choices include Register now (Binance Futures), Start trading (Bybit), Join BingX, Open account (Bybit), and BitMEX. 2. **Fund Your Account:** Deposit cryptocurrency (usually USDT) into your futures wallet on the exchange. 3. **Select a Contract:** Choose the cryptocurrency you want to trade (e.g., BTCUSD, ETHUSD) and the quarterly contract expiration date. 4. **Choose Your Leverage:** Select the leverage you want to use. Be cautious! Higher leverage = higher risk. Start with lower leverage (e.g., 2x or 5x) until you understand the mechanics. 5. **Place Your Order:** Decide if you want to go long or short and enter the amount you want to trade. 6. **Monitor Your Position:** Keep a close eye on your trade and be prepared to adjust or close it if the price moves against you. Learn about Stop-Loss Orders to limit potential losses.

Funding Rate

A crucial aspect of quarterly futures is the Funding Rate. This is a periodic payment exchanged between long and short position holders.

  • **Positive Funding Rate:** Long positions pay short positions. This happens when the futures price is *higher* than the spot price (indicating bullish sentiment).
  • **Negative Funding Rate:** Short positions pay long positions. This happens when the futures price is *lower* than the spot price (indicating bearish sentiment).

The funding rate is usually calculated every 8 hours. It's important to factor this into your trading strategy, especially if you hold positions for extended periods.

Understanding Margin & Liquidation

  • **Margin:** The amount of money required to open and maintain a leveraged position.
  • **Liquidation:** If the price moves against your position and your margin falls below a certain level (the "liquidation price"), the exchange will automatically close your position to prevent further losses. You will lose your entire margin balance.

Proper Position Sizing and using stop-loss orders are crucial to avoid liquidation.

Spot vs. Futures: A Comparison

Here's a quick comparison of spot trading and futures trading:

Feature Spot Trading Futures Trading
Ownership You own the underlying asset. You don't own the asset; it's a contract.
Leverage Typically no leverage. Offers leverage (e.g., 2x, 5x, 10x, 20x).
Funding Rate Not applicable. Applicable; payments exchanged between longs and shorts.
Complexity Simpler for beginners. More complex; requires understanding of leverage, margin, and funding rates.

Tools for Analysis

Before trading, use these tools to help you make informed decisions:

  • **Technical Analysis:** Studying price charts and using indicators to predict future price movements. See Candlestick Patterns and Moving Averages.
  • **Fundamental Analysis:** Assessing the underlying value of the cryptocurrency based on factors like adoption, technology, and news.
  • **Order Book Analysis:** Examining the buy and sell orders to gauge market sentiment and potential price levels.
  • **Trading Volume Analysis:** Looking at the amount of trading activity to confirm trends and identify potential breakouts.
  • **Heatmaps:** Visual representations of price action across multiple cryptocurrencies.
  • **Sentiment Analysis:** Gauging the overall mood of the market through social media and news articles.
  • **Correlation Analysis**: Identifying relationships between different cryptocurrencies.
  • **Volume Profile**: Analyzing price levels with the highest trading volume.
  • **Fibonacci Retracements**: Identifying potential support and resistance levels.
  • **Bollinger Bands**: Measuring market volatility.

Important Resources

Disclaimer

Trading cryptocurrency involves substantial risk of loss. This guide is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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